CIBC: the sky is not falling, investors

“It turns out fears of a long and sharp downturn in the housing market, are highly exaggerated and very premature,” said Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist at CIBC. “In fact demographic forces will be supportive to real estate markets in the coming decade.”

Tal predicts immigration, which is responsible for most of the population growth, will be a major force impacting housing demand.

“What’s more, there is significant jump in the home ownership rate among immigrants as they pass the three-year mark,” said Tal. “In fact, after 10 years in Canada, the propensity among immigrants to own a house is higher than among native Canadians.”

While there will be a decline in the number of Canadians under the age of 25 and those between 45 and 54, those age groups account for a relatively small portion of home buyers, Tal writes in his latest Consumer Watch report.

By contrast, the number of Canadians between the ages of 25 and 35 – the age group that makes up the vast majority of first-time home buyers – will continue to rise, the report said.

“From a housing market perspective, what counts is not only the change in population of a given age group, but more importantly, the level of housing market activity among these groups,” said Tal. “In other words, the group that is most likely to buy a house will grow faster in the coming decade.”

Are you looking to invest in property? If you like, we can get one of our mortgage experts to tell you exactly how much you can afford to borrow, which is the best mortgage for you or how much they could save you right now if you have an existing mortgage. Click here to get help choosing the best mortgage rate

COMMENTS

Get help choosing the best mortgage rate

Just fill in a few details, and we'll arrange for a Mortgage adviser to help you find the best mortgage for your needs

  • How soon do you want a mortgage?
  • Name
  • Where do you live?
  • Phone number
  • E-mail address

Industry news

Submit a press release

Poll

Should government update pot rules to prohibit growing in rentals?