Canadians expect low rates, higher home prices BoC survey finds

by Steve Randall14 Jan 2020

The Bank of Canada has released the results of its fourth-quarter survey of consumer sentiment including real estate prices and household finances.

It shows that there has been a slight dip in expectations for inflation over 1 year while the 2-year outlook remains largely unchanged from the previous quarter.

House price expectations continue to show growth nationwide and this sentiment is particularly strong in British Columbia while remaining weak in Alberta and Saskatchewan.

Growth in household income remained stable and spending expectation was higher and continues to outpace expected wage growth. Consumers expect inflation to rise by 2.2% with wages up 2%.

This suggests that households may be forced to tap their savings or increase debt to make ends meet.

The labour market section of the survey remains positive with a larger expected reduction in voluntary work suggesting more people believe they will find a better job in 2020.

But there was also a higher level of concern about losing a job, although the expectation that finding a new job remained positive.

The survey was conducted in November 2019.

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