“By any traditional definition, we were in the grips of a full-on bubble earlier this year,” Doug Porter told CBC’s Metro Morning on Friday. He backed that up with stats on house prices rising 40% in around 15 months, a situation last seen in the late 1980s which was widely accepted as a bubble.
Porter continued that the Ontario government’s measures to cool the market helped burst the bubble.
Although prices remain elevated in the GTA, there has been a 13% drop in four months and Porter expects softening to continue with a “full-blown buyer’s market ahead.”
He believes that further interest rate rises will continue to affect affordability even as prices ease, with first-time buyers still facing challenges to homeownership.
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Not everyone agrees that Toronto has been in a housing bubble but BMO’s chief economist is in no doubt.