RBC: "Little risk that prices will accelerate much further"

by Steve Randall on 20 Aug 2018

Home resales in Canada were driven by the Greater Toronto Area in July with a 7.7% gain compared to 1.9% nationally.

The GTA also saw a flattening of price growth which has been declining in recent months. RBC’s senior economist Robert Hogue says that the national benchmark price appreciated at a faster rate (2.1% y/y) for the first time in 15 months.

In a monthly housing report, Hogue says that, with a few exceptions, price acceleration is unlikely to be a major factor in the Canadian housing market in the coming months.

“We see little risk that prices will accelerate much further in the near term. Except in a few areas (including Ottawa and Montreal where sellers have a slight upper hand), demand-supply conditions are balanced in the majority of markets in Canada, which does not support rapid price growth. Vancouver prices are in fact decelerating at present,” he writes in his report.

He added that he and his colleagues believe that the market is adapting to the impact of the mortgage stress test and while some sellers may still be reluctant to list their homes, RBC Economics forecasts a recovery of the resales market across most areas through the second half of 2018.

Supply boost for GTA, constraint nationally
The GTA saw more homes on the market in July but new listings were down 1.2% nationally.

There was a notable drop in new listings in Vancouver, Calgary and Edmonton, and to a lesser extent in Ottawa and Montreal.

Post a Comment

Most Trending News

Fixed-rate mortgages have gone up, but it doesn’t matter

News of a fixed rate increase might inspire consumers driven by fear of being priced out of the market in Canada.

Read More
Post-COVID return to the office depends on where you live

Even before COVID-19 moved us all to work from home, reevaluations of office space were already underway, but not nearly to the extent they are now.

Read More
Millions in delayed closing compensation left unclaimed

This consultant and real estate investor said that a third of new construction properties built every year in Ontario have legitimate claims for reimbursement, but they aren't taken advantage of.

Read More